{"id":8075,"date":"2025-09-15T09:26:53","date_gmt":"2025-09-15T09:26:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/?p=8075"},"modified":"2025-09-23T01:41:00","modified_gmt":"2025-09-23T01:41:00","slug":"is-a-fed-rate-cut-a-foregone-conclusion-shifting-from-fighting-inflation-to-protecting-jobs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/zh_hk\/is-a-fed-rate-cut-a-foregone-conclusion-shifting-from-fighting-inflation-to-protecting-jobs\/","title":{"rendered":"\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u964d\u606f\u5df2\u6210\u5b9a\u5c40\uff1f\u5f9e\u300c\u6297\u901a\u81a8\u300d\u8f49\u5411\u300c\u4fdd\u5c31\u696d\u300d\uff01"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u96a8\u8457\u806f\u6e96\u67039\u670816-17\u65e5\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u6703\u8b70\u81e8\u8fd1\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u964d\u606f\u7684\u9810\u671f\u65e5\u76ca\u6e05\u6670\u3002\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u75b2\u8edf\u7684\u5c31\u696d\u5e02\u5834\u6578\u64da\u548c\u901a\u81a8\u58d3\u529b\u7de9\u89e3\u7684\u5171\u540c\u4f5c\u7528\u4e0b\uff0c\u56f0\u64fe\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u6578\u6708\u7684\u300c\u6eef\u81a8\u98a8\u96aa\u300d\u6b63\u9010\u6f38\u6d88\u6563\uff0c\u5b98\u54e1\u5167\u90e8\u95dc\u65bc\u653f\u7b56\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u722d\u8ad6\u4e5f\u6709\u671b\u7d50\u675f\u3002\u5f9e\u6a5f\u69cb\u9810\u6e2c\u5230\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u81ea\u8eab\u7684\u7acb\u5834\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u8f49\u5411\u300c\u8b39\u614e\u5bec\u9b06\u300d\u5df2\u6210\u5b9a\u5c40\u3002\u5c31\u696d\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u591a\u91cd\u8b66\u793a\u8a0a\u865f\u548c\u4f4e\u8ff7\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u6b63\u5171\u540c\u5f71\u97ff\u8457\u6b64\u6b21\u964d\u606f\u7684\u7bc0\u594f\u548c\u5e45\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>1. 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https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/img_256-1-768x455.png 768w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/img_256-1-18x12.png 18w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/img_256-1-900x533.png 900w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/img_256-1-600x355.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 919px) 100vw, 919px\" \/><\/p>\n<h3>\uff08\u4e00\uff09\u5c31\u696d\u5e02\u5834\uff1a\u5f9e\u201c\u8868\u7a69\u201d\u5230\u201c\u6574\u9ad4\u75b2\u8edf\u201d<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li class=\"translation-block\"><strong>\u95dc\u9375\u6307\u6a19\u9762\u81e8\u58d3\u529b<\/strong>\uff1a8\u6708\u5931\u696d\u7387\u5347\u81f34.3%\uff0c6\u6708\u4efd\u8077\u7f3a\u6e1b\u5c11\uff0c2025\u5e74\u524d\u4e00\u5e74\u65b0\u589e\u5c31\u696d\u4eba\u6578\u6bd4\u6700\u521d\u5831\u544a\u7684\u5c11\u4e86\u8fd1100\u842c\u500b\u3002<\/li>\n<li class=\"translation-block\"><strong>\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u554f\u984c\u51f8\u986f\uff1a<\/strong>\u7522\u696d\u62db\u52df\u7bc4\u570d\u7e2e\u5c0f\uff0c2025\u5e742\u6708\u4ee5\u4f86\u9ed1\u4eba\u5931\u696d\u7387\u98c6\u5347\uff08\u8207\u767d\u4eba\u5206\u5316\u660e\u986f\uff09\uff0c\u8077\u7f3a\u5e74\u5747\u4e0b\u964d7%\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff08\u8f032023\u5e74\u4e0b\u964d27.1%\uff09\u3002<\/li>\n<li class=\"translation-block\"><strong>\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u5f31\u9ede\u88ab\u63a9\u84cb\u4e86<\/strong>\uff1a\u5254\u96642024\u5e74\u5e95\u7684\u62db\u52df\u6fc0\u589e\uff0c2024\u5e744\u6708\u81f32025\u5e748\u6708\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6708\u589e\u5e45\u50c5\u70ba4\u842c\u4eba\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u4f4e\u5931\u696d\u7387\u662f\u7531\u65bc\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u4f9b\u7d66\uff08\u79fb\u6c11\u9650\u5236\uff09\u800c\u975e\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>\uff08\u4e8c\uff09\u901a\u81a8\u8868\u73fe\uff1a\u95dc\u7a05\u50b3\u5c0e\u9069\u4e2d\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3\u6307\u6a19\u53ef\u63a7\u5236<\/h3>\n<p>\u5118\u7ba18\u6708CPI\u6f32\u5e45\u9ad8\u65bc\u4e0a\u6708\uff0c\u4f46\u901a\u81a8\u58d3\u529b\u4ecd\u5728\u53ef\u63a7\u7bc4\u570d\u5167\u3002 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srcset=\"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/img_256-2.png 730w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/img_256-2-300x285.png 300w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/img_256-2-13x12.png 13w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/img_256-2-600x570.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 730px) 100vw, 730px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u9762\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u6a5f\u69cb\u8fc5\u901f\u8abf\u6574\u4e86\u5c0d\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u964d\u606f\u8def\u5f91\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u5c0d\u964d\u606f\u5e45\u5ea6\u4ecd\u5b58\u5728\u5206\u6b67\uff0c\u4f46\u300c\u6f38\u9032\u5f0f\u5bec\u9b06\u300d\u5df2\u6210\u70ba\u5171\u8b58\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li class=\"translation-block\"><strong>\u524d\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5b98\u54e1\u840a\u56e0\u54c8\u7279<\/strong>\uff1a<\/strong>9\u6708\u964d\u606f25\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\u662f\u4e00\u6b21\u201c\u653f\u7b56\u6821\u6e96\u201d\uff0c\u975e\u5bec\u9b06\u9031\u671f\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u6c92\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\u7e7c\u7e8c\u964d\u606f\u3002<\/li>\n<li class=\"translation-block\"><strong>\u5fa9\u8208\u5b8f\u89c0\u675c\u5854<\/strong>\uff1a<\/strong>\u5efa\u8b70\u964d\u606f50\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff0c\u9810\u8a08FOMC\u53ef\u80fd\u5be6\u969b\u964d\u606f25\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff0c\u4e26\u52a0\u5f37\u5c31\u696d\u652f\u6301\u3002<\/li>\n<li class=\"translation-block\"><strong>\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229<\/strong>\uff1a\u5f9e\u201c9\u6708\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\u201d\u5230\u201c\u56db\u6b21\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u6bcf\u6b2125\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\u201d\uff0c\u4e26\u57282025\u5e741\u6708\u518d\u6b21\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u4f7f\u5229\u7387\u56de\u6b78\u4e2d\u6027\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>3. 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