{"id":9894,"date":"2026-09-22T04:35:05","date_gmt":"2026-09-22T04:35:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/?p=9894"},"modified":"2026-09-22T04:35:10","modified_gmt":"2026-09-22T04:35:10","slug":"self-game-in-precious-metals-trading-viewing-winning-and-losing-streaks-through-probabilistic-thinking","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/self-game-in-precious-metals-trading-viewing-winning-and-losing-streaks-through-probabilistic-thinking\/","title":{"rendered":"Tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i t\u1ef1 ch\u01a1i trong giao d\u1ecbch kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd: Xem chu\u1ed7i th\u1eafng v\u00e0 thua th\u00f4ng qua t\u01b0 duy x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Trong giao d\u1ecbch kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 v\u00e0ng v\u00e0 b\u1ea1c, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u00e0 b\u1ecf qua m\u1ed9t tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i quan tr\u1ecdng kh\u00e1c\u2014tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i c\u1ea3m x\u00fac v\u00e0 th\u00e0nh ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bnh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh h\u1ecd. M\u1ecdi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ec1u ch\u1ee9a \u0111\u1ef1ng m\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 duy nh\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a ph\u00e1n \u0111o\u00e1n; \u0111\u00e2y ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea7u cho nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 sai l\u1ea7m v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t t\u00e2m l\u00fd. B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y, t\u1eeb g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t, ph\u00e1c th\u1ea3o nh\u1eefng b\u1eaby t\u00e2m l\u00fd ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn trong c\u1ea3 chu\u1ed7i th\u1eafng v\u00e0 thua, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 quy t\u1eafc \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n<p>I. Giao d\u1ecbch l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n<p>Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh b\u1edfi nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi tham gia v\u00e0 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t giao d\u1ecbch mang l\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3: c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t ph\u00e1n \u0111o\u00e1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 mang l\u1ea1i k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 kh\u00e1c nhau do bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n ti\u00ean quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch h\u1ee3p l\u00fd - \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 qu\u00e1 cao b\u1ea3n th\u00e2n ch\u1ec9 v\u00ec m\u1ed9t l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn duy nh\u1ea5t c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh ch\u1ec9 v\u00ec m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3n l\u1ed7 duy nh\u1ea5t; c\u00e1c ph\u00e1n \u0111o\u00e1n ph\u1ea3i d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean khung th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0i h\u01a1n v\u00e0 c\u1ee1 m\u1eabu l\u1edbn h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n<p>II. Sau chu\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y ki\u1ebfm l\u1eddi: T\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u1ea7m v\u1eadn may l\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng<\/p>\n<p>Chu\u1ed7i chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1i th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t. Sau m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng quy k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 theo ph\u00e1n \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ee7a ri\u00eang h\u1ecd, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ti\u00eau ch\u00ed v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh v\u00e0 t\u0103ng quy m\u00f4 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf, v\u00f4 t\u00ecnh m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. V\u00e0 m\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i duy nh\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u00f3a s\u1ea1ch ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1ch ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi c\u00e1i b\u1eaby n\u00e0y l\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf b\u1ea3n th\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c quy t\u1eafc r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh: b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o, r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t giao d\u1ecbch, quy m\u00f4 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf v\u00e0 ti\u00eau ch\u00ed v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh ph\u1ea3i nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi do bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n<p>III. Sau m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t thua l\u1ed7: S\u1ef1 sai l\u1ea7m c\u1ee7a con b\u1ea1c v\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch tr\u1ea3 th\u00f9<\/p>\n<p>M\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i thua l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1i th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m kh\u00e1c. L\u00fac n\u00e0y, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ec5 r\u01a1i v\u00e0o hai lo\u1ea1i b\u1eaby t\u00e2m l\u00fd: m\u1ed9t l\u00e0 sai l\u1ea7m c\u1ee7a con b\u1ea1c, t\u1ee9c l\u00e0 cho r\u1eb1ng \u201csau khi thua nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp th\u00ec s\u1ebd quay \u0111\u1ea7u l\u1ea1i\u201d \u2013 nh\u01b0ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng nh\u1edb k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 trong qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9, v\u00e0 m\u1ed7i v\u1ecb th\u1ebf m\u1edf l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp; c\u00e1i c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch tr\u1ea3 th\u00f9, mong mu\u1ed1n b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t, do \u0111\u00f3 quy m\u00f4 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf t\u0103ng l\u00ean v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ti\u00eau chu\u1ea9n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y th\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n<p>M\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi chu\u1ed7i thua l\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7t gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n thua l\u1ed7 t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi. Sau khi n\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t, h\u00e3y ng\u1eebng giao d\u1ecbch, r\u1eddi kh\u1ecfi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, xem x\u00e9t hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0y h\u00f4m tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc xem c\u00f3 n\u00ean ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c hay kh\u00f4ng thay v\u00ec th\u00eam v\u00e0o v\u1ecb th\u1ebf d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u1ea3m x\u00fac.<\/p>\n<p>IV. Hi\u1ec7u \u1ee9ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y v\u00e0 t\u01b0 duy m\u1eabu<\/p>\n<p>Ph\u00e1n \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ee7a con ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1edfi nh\u1eefng tr\u1ea3i nghi\u1ec7m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y\u2014hi\u1ec7u \u1ee9ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch coi c\u00e1c k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1ecf c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c khu\u1ebfch \u0111\u1ea1i th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch, m\u1ed9t quan \u0111i\u1ec3m ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn h\u01a1n l\u00e0 t\u01b0 duy d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u1eabu: \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 m\u1ed9t ph\u00e1n \u0111o\u00e1n ho\u1eb7c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c, ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta n\u00ean xem x\u00e9t \u0111\u1ee7 s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u1eabu v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, thay v\u00ec b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1edfi m\u1ed9t v\u00e0i k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3. Ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t gi\u1eefa \u201cch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh\u201d v\u00e0 \u201ck\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 duy nh\u1ea5t\u201d l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh t\u1ef1 suy ngh\u0129 v\u00e0 t\u01b0 duy chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/p>\n<p>V. Lu\u1eadt t\u1ef1 ch\u01a1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u1ea7u ti\u00ean, thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp c\u00e1c ranh gi\u1edbi r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng m\u1ee9c d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 quy m\u00f4 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi m\u1edf m\u1ed9t v\u1ecb th\u1ebf, cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c quy t\u1eafc \u0111i tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh mang t\u00ednh c\u1ea3m x\u00fac.<\/p>\n<p>Th\u1ee9 hai, n\u00ean thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp m\u1ed9t c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3n th\u00e2n c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian ngh\u1ec9 ng\u01a1i sau chu\u1ed7i th\u1eafng ho\u1eb7c thua, nh\u1eb1m tr\u00e1nh \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh khi \u0111ang \u1edf tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i c\u1ef1c \u0111oan.<\/p>\n<p>Th\u1ee9 ba, ghi l\u1ea1i l\u00fd do \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh. Nh\u1eadt k\u00fd giao d\u1ecbch kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 ghi l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn v\u00e0 thua l\u1ed7 m\u00e0 c\u00f2n ghi l\u1ea1i l\u00fd do b\u1ea1n tham gia th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 c\u01a1 s\u1edf l\u00e0 g\u00ec, \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i cho vi\u1ec7c xem x\u00e9t v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai.<\/p>\n<p>Th\u1ee9 t\u01b0, t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o quy tr\u00ecnh v\u00e0 quy t\u1eafc; h\u00e3y \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3, nh\u01b0ng h\u00e3y \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u00fang t\u00f4i quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh quy tr\u00ecnh v\u00e0 k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt.<\/p>\n<p>VI. ACE Markets: Cung c\u1ea5p h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c thi c\u00e1c quy t\u1eafc t\u1ef1 ch\u01a1i<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd mu\u1ed1n \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c quy t\u1eafc giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0o th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, ACE Markets cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u00e1c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. D\u1ef1a tr\u00ean MetaTrader 5, n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u00e1c ch\u1ee9c n\u0103ng \u0111\u1eb7t l\u1ec7nh nh\u01b0 l\u1ec7nh d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 v\u00e0 ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi, cho ph\u00e9p nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc ranh gi\u1edbi r\u1ee7i ro khi m\u1edf v\u1ecb th\u1ebf, gi\u1ea3m \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3m x\u00fac \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh. L\u1ecbch s\u1eed giao d\u1ecbch r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i cho vi\u1ec7c xem x\u00e9t qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1eddi. N\u00f3 c\u0169ng cung c\u1ea5p ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp. \u0110i\u1ec1u quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ea7n l\u01b0u \u00fd l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 n\u00e0y cung c\u1ea5p n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng cho vi\u1ec7c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 l\u01b0u gi\u1eef h\u1ed3 s\u01a1; s\u1ef1 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng hay th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c t\u1ef1 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd n\u00e0y cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec3u bi\u1ebft v\u00e0 k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ng\u01b0\u1eddi giao d\u1ecbch.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00ecm hi\u1ec3u c\u00e1ch v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua b\u1eaby t\u00e2m l\u00fd trong giao d\u1ecbch kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd, t\u1eeb chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng qu\u00e1 t\u1ef1 tin \u0111\u1ebfn giao d\u1ecbch tr\u1ea3 th\u00f9, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c quy t\u1eafc t\u1ef1 k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9895,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[119],"tags":[934,967,966],"class_list":["post-9894","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured-solutions","tag-emotional-trading-mistakes","tag-gambler-fallacy-trading","tag-trading-psychology-gold-silver"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9894","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9894"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9894\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9896,"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9894\/revisions\/9896"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9895"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9894"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9894"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9894"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}