{"id":9669,"date":"2026-07-20T09:24:25","date_gmt":"2026-07-20T09:24:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/?p=9669"},"modified":"2026-07-20T09:24:28","modified_gmt":"2026-07-20T09:24:28","slug":"oil-price-stalemate-triggered-by-middle-east-geopolitical-escalation-and-the-risk-of-transmission-to-global-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/oil-price-stalemate-triggered-by-middle-east-geopolitical-escalation-and-the-risk-of-transmission-to-global-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u b\u1ebf t\u1eafc do leo thang \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 nguy c\u01a1 l\u00e2y lan ra th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>L\u00e0 m\u1ed9t t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p tham gia s\u00e2u v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i v\u00e0 truy\u1ec1n t\u1ea3i r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, ACE Markets t\u1eeb l\u00e2u \u0111\u00e3 theo d\u00f5i s\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u1ec1 cung v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i li\u00ean k\u1ebft r\u1ee7i ro t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n ch\u00e9o. G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1ed9t \u1edf eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz v\u00e0 xung \u0111\u1ed9t leo thang gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 Brent t\u0103ng h\u01a1n 23% ch\u1ec9 trong m\u1ed9t th\u00e1ng, nhanh ch\u00f3ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t m\u1ed1c 90 USD. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, s\u1ef1 c\u1ea1n ki\u1ec7t li\u00ean t\u1ee5c c\u1ee7a kho d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef d\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 l\u1ecdc \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng th\u00eam \u0111\u1ed9 co gi\u00e3n v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1, truy\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 h\u1ed1i \u0111o\u00e1i v\u00e0 c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng. ACE Markets, k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p d\u1eef li\u1ec7u v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh chu k\u1ef3 t\u1ed3n kho v\u00e0 c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac v\u1ecb th\u1ebf qu\u1ef9, \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng logic c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro lan t\u1ecfa ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"post-9669-heading_0\"><\/a><strong>C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb leo thang v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00ecnh ch\u1ec9 c\u00e1c chuy\u1ebfn bay \u0111\u1ebfn v\u00e0 \u0111i t\u1eeb eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c t\u00e1i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u nhanh ch\u00f3ng n\u00e0y l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 suy gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 v\u1ec1 an to\u00e0n h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i \u1edf eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz. L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng V\u1ec7 binh C\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o Iran \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1eb7n nhi\u1ec1u t\u00e0u ch\u1edf d\u1ea7u v\u1edbi l\u00fd do vi ph\u1ea1m c\u00e1c quy t\u1eafc h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i, g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 l\u00e0m t\u00ea li\u1ec7t giao th\u00f4ng qua eo bi\u1ec3n v\u00e0 bu\u1ed9c nhi\u1ec1u t\u00e0u ph\u1ea3i \u1edf trong v\u00f9ng bi\u1ec3n an to\u00e0n. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c leo thang - qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i M\u1ef9 ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng \u0111\u00eam li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o c\u00e1c c\u01a1 s\u1edf li\u00ean l\u1ea1c v\u00e0 gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t ven bi\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a Iran, trong khi Iran tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o c\u00e1c c\u0103n c\u1ee9 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng. Cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u0111\u00e3 leo thang t\u1eeb b\u1ebf t\u1eafc tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3n sang \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u tr\u00ean b\u1ed9, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u gi\u1ea3m leo thang r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1484\" height=\"829\" class=\"wp-image-9671\" src=\"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155209.png\" alt=\"\u5c40\u90e8\u622a\u53d6_20260720_155209\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155209.png 1484w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155209-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155209-1024x572.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155209-768x429.png 768w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155209-18x10.png 18w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155209-350x195.png 350w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155209-900x503.png 900w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155209-600x335.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1484px) 100vw, 1484px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Nh\u00f3m nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u1ee7a ACE Markets tin r\u1eb1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u00e2m l\u00fd ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n m\u00e0 \u0111ang \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i nguy c\u01a1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n ngu\u1ed3n cung t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m t\u1eafc ngh\u1ebdn n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng quan tr\u1ecdng tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz x\u1eed l\u00fd kho\u1ea3ng 30% giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 c\u1ea3 tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00eda b\u1eafc v\u00e0 ph\u00eda nam hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi r\u1ee7i ro tu\u00e2n th\u1ee7 v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1nh ch\u1eb7n t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1ee9ng, l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 s\u1ef1 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng di chuy\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i bi\u1ec3n. V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u00e0 x\u00e9t \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 th\u1ecfa hi\u1ec7p gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c b\u00ean xung \u0111\u1ed9t kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra trong th\u1eddi gian ng\u1eafn v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i \u00edch \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u s\u1ebd v\u1eabn t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i. D\u1ea7u th\u00f4 Brent v\u01b0\u1ee3t m\u1ee9c 90 USD ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean trong vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 r\u1ee7i ro; n\u1ebfu \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n giao th\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ee7y ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c x\u1ea5u \u0111i, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u v\u1eabn c\u00f2n d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"post-9669-heading_1\"><\/a><strong>D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef h\u00e0ng t\u1ed3n kho s\u1eafp c\u1ea1n ki\u1ec7t, khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m d\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 tinh ch\u1ebf d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi d\u1ea7u th\u00f4.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc, thay v\u00ec ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n l\u00e0 do c\u00e1c ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y. Vi\u1ec7c theo d\u00f5i d\u1eef li\u1ec7u t\u1ed3n kho to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a ACE Markets cho th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng sau nhi\u1ec1u v\u00f2ng xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 an to\u00e0n c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb n\u00e9n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 l\u00fd do c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i khi\u1ebfn c\u00fa s\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nhanh ch\u00f3ng \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng cao. V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t d\u1eef li\u1ec7u, t\u1ed3n kho d\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 quan s\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng 360 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 3 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 5, ch\u1ec9 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nh\u1eb9 21 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng trong th\u00e1ng 6, cho th\u1ea5y v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec7m c\u1ea1n ki\u1ec7t trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eeda ch\u1eefa m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3. C\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, t\u1ed3n kho d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 1984, v\u00e0 t\u1ed3n kho t\u1ea1i Cushing, Oklahoma, trung t\u00e2m l\u01b0u tr\u1eef d\u1ea7u c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i, ch\u1ec9 cao h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t ch\u00fat so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ed3n kho \u201c\u0111\u00e1y b\u1ec3\u201d \u0111ang ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng. Ngo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb tr\u1eef l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, t\u1ed3n kho d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, khi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ch\u1ed7 cho sai s\u00f3t.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1031\" height=\"518\" class=\"wp-image-9672\" src=\"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155444.png\" alt=\"\u5c40\u90e8\u622a\u53d6_20260720_155444\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155444.png 1031w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155444-300x151.png 300w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155444-1024x514.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155444-768x386.png 768w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155444-18x9.png 18w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155444-900x452.png 900w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155444-600x301.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1031px) 100vw, 1031px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u00e1ng b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n l\u00e0 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c ngu\u1ed3n cung trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf \u0111\u00e3 l\u1ecdc. S\u1ef1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n trong v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111\u00e3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u1ea3m c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y l\u1ecdc d\u1ea7u \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 Ch\u00e2u \u00c1. C\u00f9ng v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf li\u00ean t\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u diesel c\u1ee7a Nga, c\u00e1n c\u00e2n cung c\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m d\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 l\u1ecdc \u0111ang th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4. T\u1ed3n kho x\u0103ng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2012, trong khi t\u1ed3n kho d\u1ea7u diesel v\u00e0 nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u ch\u01b0ng c\u1ea5t trung b\u00ecnh kh\u00e1c th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh 5 n\u0103m v\u00e0 t\u1ed3n kho nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u m\u00e1y bay c\u0169ng \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p. ACE Markets d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng n\u1ebfu eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda, t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m d\u1ea7u tinh ch\u1ebf s\u1ebd xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u00ean v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang s\u1ebd r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4. Ngay c\u1ea3 khi c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef kh\u1ea9n c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ea7y kho\u1ea3ng tr\u1ed1ng, n\u00f3 s\u1ebd ch\u1ec9 gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u0103n b\u1ea3n t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh cung c\u1ea7u th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t.<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"post-9669-heading_2\"><\/a><strong>C\u00fa s\u1ed1c gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u lan r\u1ed9ng kh\u1eafp c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng: C\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c, v\u1ecb th\u1ebf b\u00e1n kh\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la New Zealand \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>D\u1ef1a tr\u00ean khung nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u li\u00ean k\u1ebft t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n ch\u00e9o c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, ACE Markets l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 lan r\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng sang th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i. Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c nhi\u1ec1u v\u00e0o nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c, trong \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la New Zealand l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u00ed d\u1ee5 \u0111i\u1ec3n h\u00ecnh. S\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n do vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 h\u1ed1i \u0111o\u00e1i kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ef1c c\u1ea3n trung v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n do chi ph\u00ed n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng cao. C\u00e1c v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ef1c ng\u1eafn hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh c\u1ea3 t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n \u0111ang x\u1ea5u \u0111i; n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao, \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la New Zealand s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 trong trung h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1028\" height=\"521\" class=\"wp-image-9673\" src=\"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155625.png\" alt=\"\u5c40\u90e8\u622a\u53d6_20260720_155625\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155625.png 1028w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155625-300x152.png 300w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155625-1024x519.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155625-768x389.png 768w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155625-18x9.png 18w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155625-900x456.png 900w, https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/20260720_155625-600x304.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1028px) 100vw, 1028px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>D\u1eef li\u1ec7u t\u1eeb \u1ee6y ban Giao d\u1ecbch H\u00e0ng h\u00f3a T\u01b0\u01a1ng lai Hoa K\u1ef3 (CFTC) cho th\u1ea5y trong tu\u1ea7n k\u1ebft th\u00fac v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 14 th\u00e1ng 7, v\u1ecb th\u1ebf b\u00e1n r\u00f2ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la New Zealand c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 c\u00f3 \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi h\u1ed3 s\u01a1 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2006. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 vi\u1ec7c Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef New Zealand t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u l\u00ean 2,5% \u0111\u00e3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la New Zealand, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 theo l\u1ef1c c\u1ea3n c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n t\u1eeb gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng. New Zealand ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng v\u1ec1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00fa s\u1ed1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd l\u00e0m t\u0103ng chi ph\u00ed nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u, si\u1ebft ch\u1eb7t ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 l\u00e0m x\u1ea5u \u0111i c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i. Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf New Zealand \u0111\u00e3 tr\u00ec tr\u1ec7 trong qu\u00fd 2, v\u1edbi doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb gi\u1ea3m 1,4% so v\u1edbi th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc trong th\u00e1ng 6 v\u00e0 th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i thu h\u1eb9p \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u cao h\u01a1n s\u1ebd l\u00e0m t\u0103ng th\u00eam \u00e1p l\u1ef1c kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"post-9669-heading_3\"><\/a><strong>K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn: H\u00e3y c\u1ea3nh gi\u00e1c v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd do s\u1ef1 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>ACE Markets tu\u00e2n th\u1ee7 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u ba chi\u1ec1u bao g\u1ed3m \u201cb\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u1ec1 cung v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u v\u1ed1n\u201d. Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i tin r\u1eb1ng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111ang trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n h\u1ed9i t\u1ee5 gi\u1eefa xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb leo thang v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c t\u1ed3n kho th\u1ea5p. Trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, r\u1ee7i ro t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 r\u1ee7i ro gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ebd lan d\u1ea7n t\u1eeb gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ebfn l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 h\u1ed1i \u0111o\u00e1i v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u00ean t\u1eeb b\u1ecf nh\u1eefng gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u1ea1c quan v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c \u201cgi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt nhanh ch\u00f3ng\u201d xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o hai t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u ch\u00ednh: ti\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n trong ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i \u1edf eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c t\u1ed3n kho to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, nh\u1eb1m gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u r\u1ee7i ro bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd. ACE Markets s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi theo d\u00f5i th\u00f4ng tin to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 r\u1ee7i ro ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ec3 theo d\u00f5i t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng trong th\u1eddi gian th\u1ef1c, cung c\u1ea5p cho kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t ph\u1ea3n h\u1ed3i v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t v\u00e0 h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00fap h\u1ecd n\u1eafm b\u1eaft ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u00e1c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 trong m\u1ed9t m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7y bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ACE Markets ph\u00e2n t\u00edch r\u1ee7i ro v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u, c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng \u1edf eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ea7u th\u00f4, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i th\u00f4ng qua nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9670,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[115],"tags":[824,823,845],"class_list":["post-9669","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-financial-news","tag-brent-crude-oil","tag-crude-oil-market","tag-oil-price-analysis"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9669","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9669"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9669\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9674,"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9669\/revisions\/9674"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9670"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9669"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9669"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9669"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}