{"id":9528,"date":"2026-06-09T07:45:14","date_gmt":"2026-06-09T07:45:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/?p=9528"},"modified":"2026-06-09T07:45:17","modified_gmt":"2026-06-09T07:45:17","slug":"better-than-expected-non-farm-payrolls-data-completely-reversed-expectations-of-an-interest-rate-cut-leaving-warshs-first-policy-meeting-in-a-policy-dilemma","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.mdwcc.com\/ja\/better-than-expected-non-farm-payrolls-data-completely-reversed-expectations-of-an-interest-rate-cut-leaving-warshs-first-policy-meeting-in-a-policy-dilemma\/","title":{"rendered":"\u975e\u8fb2\u696d\u90e8\u9580\u96c7\u7528\u8005\u6570\u304c\u4e88\u60f3\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u308a\u3001\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u4e88\u60f3\u304c\u5b8c\u5168\u306b\u9006\u8ee2\u3057\u3001\u30a6\u30a9\u30fc\u30b7\u30e5\u6c0f\u306e\u521d\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u5408\u306f\u653f\u7b56\u30b8\u30ec\u30f3\u30de\u306b\u9665\u3063\u305f"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\"\u5c40\u90e8\u622a\u53d6_20260608_150636\"<\/p>\n

4\u6708\u672b\u306b\u306f\u3059\u3067\u306b3\u4eba\u306e\u7406\u4e8b\u304c\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306b\u53cd\u5bfe\u7968\u3092\u6295\u3058\u3001\u5373\u6642\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3092\u4e3b\u5f35\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002\u73fe\u5728\u3001\u30a6\u30a9\u30fc\u30e9\u30fc\u6c0f\u306e\u96e2\u53cd\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u30bf\u30ab\u6d3e\u9663\u55b6\u304cFOMC\u5185\u3067\u7d76\u5bfe\u591a\u6570\u3092\u7372\u5f97\u3057\u305f\u3002\u3053\u306e\u5909\u5316\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u65b0\u305f\u306bFRB\u8b70\u9577\u306b\u4efb\u547d\u3055\u308c\u305f\u30a6\u30a9\u30fc\u30b7\u30e5\u6c0f\u306f\u524d\u4f8b\u306e\u306a\u3044\u56f0\u96e3\u306a\u7acb\u5834\u306b\u7f6e\u304b\u308c\u305f\u3002\u30a6\u30a9\u30fc\u30b7\u30e5\u6c0f\u306f5\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u306b\u6b63\u5f0f\u306b\u5c31\u4efb\u3057\u305f\u969b\u3001\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u306e\u65b0\u653f\u7b56\u3068AI\u6280\u8853\u306e\u666e\u53ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u697d\u89b3\u7684\u306a\u671f\u5f85\u306b\u57fa\u3065\u304d\u3001FRB\u306b\u306f\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u306e\u4f59\u5730\u304c\u5341\u5206\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3068\u7d04\u675f\u3057\u305f\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306f\u540c\u6c0f\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u304b\u3089\u5b8c\u5168\u306b\u5916\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u7387\u306f\u4e00\u8cab\u3057\u30662\uff05\u306e\u76ee\u6a19\u30921\uff05\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u4ee5\u4e0a\u4e0a\u56de\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u30016\u5e74\u9023\u7d9a\u3067\u653f\u7b56\u76ee\u6a19\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u306b\u623b\u3089\u306a\u3044\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u3002 IMF\u306f\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u7387\u304c2%\u306b\u623b\u308b\u6642\u671f\u30922026\u5e74\u534a\u3070\u304b\u30892027\u5e74\u672b\u307e\u3067\u5ef6\u671f\u3057\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u4e0a\u6607\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u304c\u4f9d\u7136\u3068\u3057\u3066\u5b58\u5728\u3059\u308b\u3068\u660e\u78ba\u306b\u8b66\u544a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

ACE\u30de\u30fc\u30b1\u30c3\u30c4\u306e\u7dbf\u5bc6\u306a\u5206\u6790\u306f\u3001\u30a6\u30a9\u30fc\u30b7\u30e5\u6c0f\u304c\u73fe\u5728\u3001\u4e8c\u91cd\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u306e\u5371\u6a5f\u306b\u76f4\u9762\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u3067\u3001\u540c\u6c0f\u304c\u30cf\u30c8\u6d3e\u59ff\u52e2\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3057\u7d9a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u3001\u5927\u534a\u306eFOMC\u30e1\u30f3\u30d0\u30fc\u306e\u610f\u898b\u3068\u77db\u76fe\u3057\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u5bfe\u7b56\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308bFRB\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u6027\u304c\u3055\u3089\u306b\u640d\u306a\u308f\u308c\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u3001\u540c\u6c0f\u304c\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u652f\u6301\u306b\u8ee2\u3058\u308c\u3070\u3001\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u6c0f\u304cFRB\u8b70\u9577\u306b\u5c31\u4efb\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u6838\u5fc3\u7684\u306a\u8981\u6c42\u306b\u771f\u3063\u5411\u304b\u3089\u53cd\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308a\u3001FRB\u3068\u30db\u30ef\u30a4\u30c8\u30cf\u30a6\u30b9\u306e\u9593\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u5bfe\u7acb\u304c\u60aa\u5316\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/a>\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u99c6\u3051\u5f15\u304d\u304c\u6fc0\u5316\u3057\u3001\u653f\u7b56\u306e\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9f\u6027\u304c\u6025\u6fc0\u306b\u9ad8\u307e\u308b<\/strong><\/p>\n

FRB\u306b\u3088\u308b\u4eca\u56de\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u904b\u55b6\u306e\u8907\u96d1\u3055\u306f\u300111\u6708\u306e\u7c73\u56fd\u4e2d\u9593\u9078\u6319\u306e\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u8981\u56e0\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u3055\u3089\u306b\u8907\u96d1\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 ACE\u30de\u30fc\u30b1\u30c3\u30c4\u306f\u3001\u975e\u8fb2\u696d\u90e8\u9580\u96c7\u7528\u7d71\u8a08\u306e\u767a\u8868\u5f8c\u3001\u30db\u30ef\u30a4\u30c8\u30cf\u30a6\u30b9\u306f\u3059\u3050\u306b\u305d\u308c\u3092\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u653f\u6a29\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u7684\u6210\u679c\u3068\u89e3\u91c8\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u540c\u6642\u306b\u5805\u8abf\u306a\u96c7\u7528\u304c\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u3092\u62bc\u3057\u4e0a\u3052\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u6fc0\u3057\u304f\u5426\u5b9a\u3057\u305f\u3068\u6307\u6458\u3057\u305f\u3002\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u306f\u30bd\u30fc\u30b7\u30e3\u30eb\u30e1\u30c7\u30a3\u30a2\u3067\u300c\u7d4c\u6e08\u6210\u9577\u306f\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3057\u306a\u3044\uff01FRB\u306f\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3059\u3079\u304d\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u306e\u4f59\u5730\u306f\u307e\u3060\u3042\u308b\u300d\u3068\u516c\u8a00\u3057\u305f\u3002\u30db\u30ef\u30a4\u30c8\u30cf\u30a6\u30b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u7d4c\u6e08\u4f1a\u8b70\u306e\u30cf\u30bb\u30c3\u30c8\u59d4\u54e1\u9577\u3082\u3001FRB\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u9759\u89b3\u3092\u7d9a\u3051\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u72b6\u6cc1\u304c\u3055\u3089\u306b\u660e\u78ba\u306b\u306a\u308b\u307e\u3067\u5f85\u3064\u3088\u3046\u6c42\u3081\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\u5c40\u90e8\u622a\u53d6_20260608_150450\"<\/p>\n

\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u3068\u7d4c\u6e08\u7684\u73fe\u5b9f\u306e\u9593\u306e\u3053\u306e\u4e56\u96e2\u306f\u3001\u9023\u90a6\u6e96\u5099\u5236\u5ea6\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3092\u3055\u3089\u306b\u8907\u96d1\u306b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002 ACE\u30de\u30fc\u30b1\u30c3\u30c4\u306f\u30d0\u30f3\u30af\u30fb\u30aa\u30d6\u30fb\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u3001\u30e9\u30b6\u30fc\u30c9\u3001\u305d\u306e\u4ed6\u306e\u91d1\u878d\u6a5f\u95a2\u306e\u898b\u89e3\u3092\u76f8\u4e92\u691c\u8a3c\u3057\u305f\u3068\u3053\u308d\u30016\u6708\u306eFOMC\u4f1a\u5408\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u30a6\u30a9\u30fc\u30eb\u8857\u306e\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u57fa\u672c\u4e88\u60f3\u306f\u91d1\u5229\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304d\u3060\u304c\u3001\u653f\u7b56\u58f0\u660e\u306f\u30bf\u30ab\u6d3e\u30b9\u30bf\u30f3\u30b9\u306b\u5927\u304d\u304f\u30b7\u30d5\u30c8\u3057\u3001\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306e\u4f59\u5730\u304c\u6b8b\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u5224\u660e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u591a\u304f\u306e\u91d1\u878d\u6a5f\u95a2\u306f\u30016\u670810\u65e5\u306b\u767a\u8868\u3055\u308c\u308b5\u6708\u306eCPI\u7d71\u8a08\u304c\u6975\u7aef\u306a\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3092\u793a\u3055\u306a\u3044\u9650\u308a\u3001FR\u200b\u200bB\u304c\u5e74\u5185\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3059\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u306f\u3055\u3089\u306b\u9ad8\u307e\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u5317\u5149\u8cc7\u7523\u7ba1\u7406\u306a\u3069\u306e\u6a5f\u95a2\u306f\u3001\u30db\u30eb\u30e0\u30ba\u6d77\u5ce1\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1\u304c\u4f9d\u7136\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6700\u5927\u306e\u5916\u90e8\u5909\u6570\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3068\u6307\u6458\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u6d77\u5ce1\u5c01\u9396\u304c\u7d9a\u304d\u3001\u539f\u6cb9\u4fa1\u683c\u304c\u9ad8\u6b62\u307e\u308a\u3059\u308c\u3070\u3001\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u304c\u30b3\u30a2\u7269\u4fa1\u306b\u3055\u3089\u306b\u6ce2\u53ca\u3057\u3001FRB\u306f\u3088\u308a\u65e9\u671f\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u884c\u52d5\u3092\u3068\u3089\u3056\u308b\u3092\u5f97\u306a\u304f\u306a\u308b\u3002\u9006\u306b\u3001\u5730\u653f\u5b66\u7684\u7d1b\u4e89\u304c\u7de9\u548c\u3055\u308c\u3001\u539f\u6cb9\u4fa1\u683c\u304c\u4e0b\u843d\u3059\u308c\u3070\u3001FRB\u306f\u89b3\u5bdf\u3059\u308b\u6642\u9593\u304c\u3055\u3089\u306b\u5897\u3048\u308b\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/a>ACE\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057\u3068\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u8b66\u544a<\/strong><\/p>\n

ACE Markets \u306e\u30de\u30af\u30ed \u30c1\u30fc\u30e0\u306f\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c 2 \u9031\u9593\u304c\u4e16\u754c\u5e02\u5834\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u4fa1\u683c\u8a2d\u5b9a\u671f\u9593\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306f 2 \u3064\u306e\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u30de\u30a4\u30eb\u30b9\u30c8\u30fc\u30f3\u306b\u7d30\u5fc3\u306e\u6ce8\u610f\u3092\u6255\u3046\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. 6\u670810\u65e5\u306e\u7c73\u56fdCPI\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf <\/strong>\uff1a\u30b3\u30a2\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u6307\u6a19\u306f\u3001FRB\u306e6\u6708\u306e\u91d1\u5229\u6c7a\u5b9a\u4f1a\u5408\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u57fa\u8abf\u3092\u76f4\u63a5\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002\u30b3\u30a2CPI\u306e\u524d\u5e74\u6bd4\u4f38\u3073\u7387\u304c3.5\uff05\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u308c\u3070\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u3059\u3050\u306b9\u6708\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3092\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u3080\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002<\/li>\n
  2. 6\u670816\uff5e17\u65e5\u306eFOMC\u4f1a\u5408 <\/strong>\uff1a\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u30a6\u30a9\u30fc\u30b7\u30e5\u6c0f\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u30b9\u30bf\u30f3\u30b9\u306e\u5909\u5316\u306e\u660e\u78ba\u306a\u30b7\u30b0\u30ca\u30eb\u3068\u4eca\u5e74\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306e\u9053\u7b4b\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u6700\u65b0\u306e\u30ac\u30a4\u30c0\u30f3\u30b9\u3092\u6c42\u3081\u3066\u3044\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u30a6\u30a9\u30fc\u30b7\u30e5\u6c0f\u306e\u6700\u521d\u306e\u8a18\u8005\u4f1a\u898b\u304c\u30cf\u30a4\u30e9\u30a4\u30c8\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

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